First Division · Dec 22, 2024 16:00
Pafos FC
PWR 35
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
Pafos FC
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Pafos FC to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (27%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
3-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Pafos FC Form
WLWWW
STABLE
AEK Larnaca Form
WDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.515%
BTTS15%
Under 2.585%
Pafos FC Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
AEK Larnaca Goals
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Pafos FCvs
0.25
AEK LarnacaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Pafos FC-1
Gap#2
AEK Larnaca
WR 80% 40 pts
WR 60% 43 pts
Pafos FC
16.0%
| Dec 08 | Pafos FC v Ethniko… | 0-2 |
| Dec 02 | Pafos FC v Omonia … | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Pafos FC v Apoel N… | 2-1 |
| Nov 10 | Pafos FC v Apollon… | 0-1 |
| Nov 03 | Pafos FC v Omonia … | 4-0 |
| Oct 06 | Pafos FC v Enosis | 1-2 |
| Sep 29 | Pafos FC v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Sep 25 | Pafos FC v Apoel N… | 1-0 |
| Sep 14 | Pafos FC v Anortho… | 3-1 |
| Sep 01 | Pafos FC v AEK Lar… | 0-2 |
AEK Larnaca
16.0%
| Dec 06 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | AEK Lar… v Enosis | 0-0 |
| Nov 03 | AEK Lar… v Paris FC | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | AEK Lar… v AEL | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | AEK Lar… v Anortho… | 1-0 |
| Oct 06 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 0-1 |
| Sep 22 | AEK Lar… v Ethniko… | 2-2 |
| Sep 16 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 1-0 |
| Sep 01 | AEK Lar… v Pafos FC | 0-2 |
| Aug 17 | AEK Lar… v AEL | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 01, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 0-2 | Pafos FC |
| Apr 06, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 3-0 | Pafos FC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Pafos FC | 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Jan 22, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 1-0 | Pafos FC |
Key Factors
Pafos FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
AEK Larnaca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.