First Division · Apr 06, 2024 16:30
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
Pafos FC
PWR 35
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Pafos FC
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AEK Larnaca to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
0-0 (17%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AEK Larnaca Form
LWWDW
STABLE
Pafos FC Form
DWWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS30%
Under 2.573%
AEK Larnaca Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Pafos FC Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
AEK Larnacavs
0.55
Pafos FCDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AEK Larnaca+1
Gap#3
Pafos FC
WR 70% 43 pts
WR 50% 40 pts
AEK Larnaca
14.0%
| Mar 31 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 1-2 |
| Mar 17 | AEK Lar… v Anortho… | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | AEK Lar… v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | AEK Lar… v Pafos FC | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | AEK Lar… v Anortho… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | AEK Lar… v AEL | 2-3 |
| Feb 05 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 2-2 |
| Jan 22 | AEK Lar… v Pafos FC | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | AEK Lar… v Ethniko… | 0-3 |
Pafos FC
10.0%
| Mar 31 | Pafos FC v Omonia … | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Pafos FC v Paris FC | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Pafos FC v Anortho… | 2-3 |
| Mar 03 | Pafos FC v Apoel N… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Pafos FC v AEK Lar… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Pafos FC v Ethniko… | 4-3 |
| Feb 04 | Pafos FC v Anortho… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Pafos FC v Apollon… | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Pafos FC v AEK Lar… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Pafos FC v Olympia… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 25, 2024 | Pafos FC | 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Jan 22, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 1-0 | Pafos FC |
Key Factors
AEK Larnaca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.