First Division · Feb 25, 2024 17:00
Pafos FC
PWR 35
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
Pafos FC
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Pafos FC to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Pafos FC Form
WDDLW
STABLE
AEK Larnaca Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS64%
Under 2.539%
Pafos FC Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
AEK Larnaca Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Pafos FCvs
1.58
AEK LarnacaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Pafos FC-1
Gap#2
AEK Larnaca
WR 80% 40 pts
WR 60% 43 pts
Pafos FC
12.0%
| Feb 10 | Pafos FC v Ethniko… | 4-3 |
| Feb 04 | Pafos FC v Anortho… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Pafos FC v Apollon… | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Pafos FC v AEK Lar… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Pafos FC v Olympia… | 0-1 |
| Jan 03 | Pafos FC v Paris FC | 1-0 |
| Dec 17 | Pafos FC v Apoel N… | 0-1 |
| Nov 11 | Pafos FC v Ethniko… | 1-4 |
| Sep 17 | Pafos FC v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| May 01 | Pafos FC v Paris FC | 2-1 |
AEK Larnaca
18.0%
| Feb 17 | AEK Lar… v Anortho… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | AEK Lar… v AEL | 2-3 |
| Feb 05 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 2-2 |
| Jan 22 | AEK Lar… v Pafos FC | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | AEK Lar… v Ethniko… | 0-3 |
| Dec 09 | AEK Lar… v Paris FC | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | AEK Lar… v Anortho… | 0-0 |
| Nov 27 | AEK Lar… v AEL | 3-0 |
| Nov 05 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 0-3 |
| Aug 28 | AEK Lar… v Ethniko… | 5-5 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 22, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 1-0 | Pafos FC |
Key Factors
AEK Larnaca in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.