AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Sep 03, 2023

FC Basel 1893

Home
VS
14:30

FC Zurich

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
FC Basel 1893 Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
FC Zurich Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.01 - 1.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Basel 1893 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
FC Zurich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
FC Basel 1893 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 FC Basel … vs Lausanne 1-2
Jul 30 FC Basel … vs FC Winter… 5-2
Jul 22 FC Basel … vs FC St. Ga… 2-1
May 25 FC Basel … vs Servette … 3-3
May 14 FC Basel … vs FC St. Ga… 6-1
May 07 FC Basel … vs FC Zurich 0-2
Apr 30 FC Basel … vs FC Winter… 1-4
Apr 27 FC Basel … vs FC Sion 1-2
Apr 23 FC Basel … vs FC Luzern 0-2
Apr 08 FC Basel … vs FC Zurich 1-1
FC Zurich Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 26 FC Zurich vs FC St. Ga… 1-1
Aug 05 FC Zurich vs FC Lugano 3-0
Jul 29 FC Zurich vs Servette … 2-2
May 29 FC Zurich vs FC Lugano 2-3
May 21 FC Zurich vs Grasshopp… 2-1
May 14 FC Zurich vs BSC Young… 1-1
May 07 FC Zurich vs FC Basel … 0-2
Apr 26 FC Zurich vs Servette … 4-0
Apr 23 FC Zurich vs FC St. Ga… 1-0
Apr 08 FC Zurich vs FC Basel … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Basel 1893 struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 07, 2023 FC Basel 1893 0 - 2 FC Zurich Super League
Apr 08, 2023 FC Zurich 1 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Super League
Oct 20, 2022 FC Basel 1893 0 - 0 FC Zurich Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Basel 1893 to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Basel 1893 Power 0
FC Zurich Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

FC Basel 1893 Position

+5

Position Gap

9

FC Zurich Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.