AI Match Insights

Primera A Oct 15, 2023

Millonarios

Home
VS
01:20

Junior

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Millonarios Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Junior Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.16 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Junior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Millonarios Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Millonari… vs Independi… 1-1
Sep 16 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 3-0
Aug 17 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Jul 23 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Jul 16 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Jun 17 Millonari… vs Independi… 2-1
Jun 11 Millonari… vs Chico 2-1
May 28 Millonari… vs Chico 1-0
May 21 Millonari… vs Independi… 2-2
May 14 Millonari… vs Chico 1-1
Junior Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Junior vs Atlético … 1-1
Sep 02 Junior vs Santa Fe 1-0
Aug 13 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-0
May 14 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-0
Apr 30 Junior vs Millonari… 1-0
Apr 10 Junior vs Atlético … 0-1
Mar 19 Junior vs Santa Fe 1-1
Feb 19 Junior vs Deportivo… 1-0
Dec 01 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-2
Nov 23 Junior vs Santa Fe 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 30, 2023 Junior 1 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Millonarios Power 0
Junior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-6

Position Gap

12

Junior Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.