AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Apr 30, 2023

Junior

Home
VS
21:10

Millonarios

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Junior Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Millonarios Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.61 - 1.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Junior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Junior Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Junior vs Atlético … 0-1
Mar 19 Junior vs Santa Fe 1-1
Feb 19 Junior vs Deportivo… 1-0
Dec 01 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-2
Nov 23 Junior vs Santa Fe 2-3
Nov 13 Junior vs Santa Fe 0-0
Nov 07 Junior vs Deportivo… 4-3
Sep 18 Junior vs Deportivo… 2-1
Aug 19 Junior vs Atlético … 1-1
Jul 29 Junior vs Atlético … 3-0
Millonarios Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Millonari… vs Independi… 2-1
Mar 23 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Jan 29 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-3
Jan 15 Millonari… vs River Pla… 2-0
Nov 24 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Nov 14 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Jul 09 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Mar 04 Millonari… vs Chico 0-1
Dec 10 Millonari… vs Chico 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Millonarios in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Junior struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Junior to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Junior Power 0
Millonarios Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Junior Position

+6

Position Gap

18

Millonarios Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.