AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 04, 2026

XV de Jau

Home
VS
22:30

EC São Bernardo

Away
AI Predictions 48.3% Confidence
XV de Jau Win
48.3%
Draw
24.3%
EC São Bernardo Win
27.3%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.58 - 1.61
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
XV de Jau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
EC São Bernardo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
XV de Jau Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 XV de Jau vs Francana 2-1
Jan 28 XV de Jau vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Jan 23 XV de Jau vs União São… 0-1
Mar 15 XV de Jau vs Comercial 0-0
Mar 12 XV de Jau vs USAC 2-1
Mar 09 XV de Jau vs Monte Azul 2-2
Mar 05 XV de Jau vs Jataiense 1-0
Feb 26 XV de Jau vs EC Lemense 1-0
Feb 19 XV de Jau vs Maracanaú… 0-1
Jan 29 XV de Jau vs Rio Branc… 0-2
EC São Bernardo Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 EC São Be… vs USAC 1-1
Jan 28 EC São Be… vs Desportiv… 1-4
Jan 24 EC São Be… vs Marília 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • XV de Jau in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: XV de Jau to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
XV de Jau Power 0
EC São Bernardo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

XV de Jau Position

+4

Position Gap

8

EC São Bernardo Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.