AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 04, 2026

USAC

Home
VS
18:00

Catanduva

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
USAC Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Catanduva Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.76 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
USAC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Catanduva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
USAC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 USAC vs EC São Be… 1-1
Jan 29 USAC vs Portugues… 1-0
Jan 24 USAC vs Desportiv… 0-1
Mar 15 USAC vs Desportiv… 1-0
Mar 12 USAC vs XV de Jau 2-1
Mar 08 USAC vs São Berna… 2-1
Mar 04 USAC vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Mar 01 USAC vs Maracanaú… 3-0
Feb 26 USAC vs Bandeiran… 3-0
Feb 01 USAC vs Catanduva 3-1
Catanduva Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Catanduva vs Itapirense 2-0
Jan 28 Catanduva vs Rio Preto 2-2
Jan 25 Catanduva vs Francana 0-1
Mar 26 Catanduva vs Sertãozin… 0-0
Mar 21 Catanduva vs Sertãozin… 0-2
Mar 15 Catanduva vs Maracanaú… 2-2
Mar 08 Catanduva vs Jataiense 0-1
Mar 05 Catanduva vs União São… 1-0
Feb 01 Catanduva vs USAC 3-1
Jan 18 Catanduva vs Rio Preto 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • USAC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Catanduva 3 - 1 USAC Paulista - A3
Mar 13, 2024 USAC 1 - 0 Catanduva Paulista - A3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
USAC Power 0
Catanduva Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

USAC Position

-14

Position Gap

1

Catanduva Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 75%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.