Paraense · Feb 08, 2026 13:00

Castanhal
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Tuna Luso
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Castanhal to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Castanhal Form WWDLW
STABLE
Tuna Luso Form WLLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS64%
Under 2.538%
Castanhal Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Tuna Luso Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Castanhal
vs
1.03
Tuna Luso
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings76%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Castanhal
+8
Gap
#10
Tuna Luso
WR 67% 7 pts WR 33% 3 pts
Castanhal 14.0%
Feb 04 Castanh… v Sao Rai… 0-1
Jan 31 Castanh… v Santa R… 1-0
Jan 25 Castanh… v Cametá 0-0
Apr 06 Castanh… v Tuna Lu… 2-1
Apr 02 Castanh… v Capitao… 3-1
Mar 30 Castanh… v Tuna Lu… 3-3
Mar 02 Castanh… v Paysand… 2-0
Feb 23 Castanh… v Cametá 3-1
Feb 16 Castanh… v Tuna Lu… 2-2
Feb 08 Castanh… v Santos 1-1
Tuna Luso 10.0%
Feb 04 Tuna Lu… v Paysand… 1-0
Feb 01 Tuna Lu… v Águia d… 0-2
Jan 28 Tuna Lu… v Amazôni… 1-0
Apr 12 Tuna Lu… v Águia d… 1-1
Apr 06 Tuna Lu… v Castanh… 2-1
Apr 02 Tuna Lu… v Remo 2-1
Mar 30 Tuna Lu… v Castanh… 3-3
Mar 14 Tuna Lu… v CSA 5-0
Feb 16 Tuna Lu… v Castanh… 2-2
Feb 01 Tuna Lu… v Cametá 3-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Apr 06, 2025 Tuna Luso 2-1 Castanhal
Mar 30, 2025 Castanhal 3-3 Tuna Luso
Feb 16, 2025 Castanhal 2-2 Tuna Luso
Feb 04, 2024 Castanhal 2-2 Tuna Luso
Feb 17, 2022 Tuna Luso 0-2 Castanhal
Mar 10, 2021 Castanhal 1-1 Tuna Luso
Key Factors
Castanhal in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.