AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Feb 01, 2026

Tuna Luso

Home
VS
13:00

Águia de Marabá

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Tuna Luso Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Águia de Marabá Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 45%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
xG: 3.55 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.3 Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Águia de Marabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Tuna Luso Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Tuna Luso vs Amazônia … 1-0
Apr 12 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-1
Apr 06 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 2-1
Apr 02 Tuna Luso vs Remo 2-1
Mar 30 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 3-3
Mar 14 Tuna Luso vs CSA 5-0
Feb 01 Tuna Luso vs Cametá 3-0
Jan 28 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Jan 20 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 0-0
Jan 15 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Águia de Marabá Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Águia de … vs Santa Rosa 2-0
Apr 12 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 1-1
Apr 06 Águia de … vs Bragantin… 2-2
Apr 01 Águia de … vs Paysandu … 3-1
Mar 29 Águia de … vs Bragantin… 0-0
Mar 02 Águia de … vs RB Bragan… 2-1
Jan 29 Águia de … vs Remo 0-1
Feb 25 Águia de … vs Remo 2-0
Feb 03 Águia de … vs Santos 1-1
Jan 20 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Tuna Luso 1 - 1 Águia de Marabá Copa Grão Pará
Jan 20, 2024 Águia de Marabá 0 - 0 Tuna Luso Paraense
Feb 11, 2023 Tuna Luso 1 - 2 Águia de Marabá Paraense
Apr 06, 2022 Tuna Luso 3 - 2 Águia de Marabá Paraense
Apr 02, 2022 Águia de Marabá 3 - 2 Tuna Luso Paraense
Jan 26, 2022 Águia de Marabá 1 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
Feb 28, 2021 Águia de Marabá 3 - 2 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tuna Luso Power 0
Águia de Marabá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Tuna Luso Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Águia de Marabá Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.