Sudani Premier League · Jan 19, 2026 14:30
Al-Ahly Merowe
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Al Saham Ad Damer
PWR 47
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Al-Ahly Merowe to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack26
Defense62
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.1
Attack40
Defense70
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.9
Al-Ahly Merowe Form WLDLW
STABLE
Al Saham Ad Da… Form DW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS46%
Under 2.559%
Al-Ahly Mer… Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Al Saham Ad… Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Al-Ahly Merowe
vs
0.99
Al Saham Ad Da…
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum62%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Al-Ahly Mer…
+12
Gap
#23
Al Saham Ad…
WR 15% 19 pts WR 29% 10 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Al-Ahly Merowe203107152219
Al Saham Ad Dam…72418610
Al-Ahly Merowe 10.0%
Jan 15 Al-Ahly… v Alamal … 0-1
Jan 11 Al-Ahly… v Al-merr… 1-2
Jan 08 Al-Ahly… v Al Hila… 0-0
Feb 06 Al-Ahly… v Hay Al … 1-0
Jan 30 Al-Ahly… v Kober 1-0
Jan 25 Al-Ahly… v Umm Mug… 1-1
Apr 09 Al-Ahly… v Al Fall… 1-1
Apr 06 Al-Ahly… v Alamal … 3-1
Nov 28 Al-Ahly… v Al Fall… 4-0
Nov 24 Al-Ahly… v Alamal … 1-1
Al Saham Ad Da… 15.0%
Jan 16 Al Saha… v Al Fall… 0-0
Jan 12 Al Saha… v Alamal … 1-2
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.