AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Mar 19, 2022

Atlético Alagoinhas

Home
VS
19:00

Confiança

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Confiança Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.93 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Alagoinhas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Confiança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (31%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Atlético Alagoinhas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Atlético … vs Figueiren… 2-0
Feb 26 Atlético … vs Vitoria 0-0
Feb 08 Atlético … vs Confiança 2-2
Jan 30 Atlético … vs Bahia de … 1-0
Jan 27 Atlético … vs Barcelona… 0-1
May 28 Atlético … vs Fluminense 0-0
May 23 Atlético … vs Bahia de … 2-3
May 20 Atlético … vs Fluminense 1-1
May 02 Atlético … vs Nacional … 2-2
Apr 17 Atlético … vs Confiança 1-1
Confiança Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Confiança vs Sergipe 1-1
Feb 08 Confiança vs Atlético … 2-2
Feb 03 Confiança vs Sergipe 1-1
Nov 03 Confiança vs Botafogo 1-0
Jul 24 Confiança vs Botafogo 0-1
May 08 Confiança vs Sergipe 0-1
May 05 Confiança vs Sergipe 0-0
Apr 17 Confiança vs Atlético … 1-1
Feb 20 Confiança vs Atlético … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 08, 2022 Confiança 2 - 2 Atlético Alagoinhas Sergipano
Apr 17, 2021 Atlético Alagoinhas 1 - 1 Confiança Sergipano
Feb 20, 2021 Confiança 2 - 1 Atlético Alagoinhas Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Alagoinhas Power 0
Confiança Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.