AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Feb 08, 2022

Confiança

Home
VS
19:00

Atlético Alagoinhas

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Confiança Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.41 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Confiança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Atlético Alagoinhas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Confiança Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Confiança vs Sergipe 1-1
Nov 03 Confiança vs Botafogo 1-0
Jul 24 Confiança vs Botafogo 0-1
May 08 Confiança vs Sergipe 0-1
May 05 Confiança vs Sergipe 0-0
Apr 17 Confiança vs Atlético … 1-1
Feb 20 Confiança vs Atlético … 2-1
Atlético Alagoinhas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Atlético … vs Bahia de … 1-0
Jan 27 Atlético … vs Barcelona… 0-1
May 28 Atlético … vs Fluminense 0-0
May 23 Atlético … vs Bahia de … 2-3
May 20 Atlético … vs Fluminense 1-1
May 02 Atlético … vs Nacional … 2-2
Apr 17 Atlético … vs Confiança 1-1
Apr 14 Atlético … vs Treze 4-0
Feb 20 Atlético … vs Confiança 2-1
Jul 19 Atlético … vs Fluminense 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Confiança struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 17, 2021 Atlético Alagoinhas 1 - 1 Confiança Sergipano
Feb 20, 2021 Confiança 2 - 1 Atlético Alagoinhas Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Confiança to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Confiança Power 0
Atlético Alagoinhas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.