AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Grão Pará Apr 12, 2025

Tuna Luso

Home
VS
19:00

Águia de Marabá

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Tuna Luso Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Águia de Marabá Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.17 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Águia de Marabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Tuna Luso Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 2-1
Apr 02 Tuna Luso vs Remo 2-1
Mar 30 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 3-3
Mar 14 Tuna Luso vs CSA 5-0
Feb 16 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 2-2
Feb 01 Tuna Luso vs Cametá 3-0
Jan 28 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Feb 04 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 2-2
Jan 20 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 0-0
Jan 15 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Águia de Marabá Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Águia de … vs Bragantin… 2-2
Apr 01 Águia de … vs Paysandu … 3-1
Mar 29 Águia de … vs RB Bragan… 0-0
Mar 02 Águia de … vs RB Bragan… 2-1
Jan 29 Águia de … vs Remo 0-1
Feb 25 Águia de … vs Remo 2-0
Feb 03 Águia de … vs Santos 1-1
Jan 20 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 0-0
May 26 Águia de … vs Remo 2-1
May 18 Águia de … vs Remo 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Águia de Marabá struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 20, 2024 Águia de Marabá 0 - 0 Tuna Luso Paraense
Feb 11, 2023 Tuna Luso 1 - 2 Águia de Marabá Paraense
Apr 06, 2022 Tuna Luso 3 - 2 Águia de Marabá Paraense
Apr 02, 2022 Águia de Marabá 3 - 2 Tuna Luso Paraense
Jan 26, 2022 Águia de Marabá 1 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
Feb 28, 2021 Águia de Marabá 3 - 2 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tuna Luso to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tuna Luso Power 0
Águia de Marabá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.