AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Grão Pará Apr 06, 2025

Tuna Luso

Home
VS
12:30

Castanhal

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Tuna Luso Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Castanhal Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 3.20 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.3
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Castanhal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Tuna Luso Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Tuna Luso vs Remo 2-1
Mar 30 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 3-3
Mar 14 Tuna Luso vs CSA 5-0
Feb 01 Tuna Luso vs Cametá 3-0
Jan 28 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Jan 20 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 0-0
Jan 15 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Apr 19 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 1-1
Apr 16 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 1-4
Mar 18 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Castanhal Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Castanhal vs Capitao P… 3-1
Mar 30 Castanhal vs Tuna Luso 3-3
Mar 02 Castanhal vs Paysandu … 2-0
Feb 23 Castanhal vs Cametá 3-1
Feb 08 Castanhal vs Santos 1-1
Jan 28 Castanhal vs Santos 1-0
Jan 20 Castanhal vs Cametá 2-2
Mar 05 Castanhal vs Cametá 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tuna Luso struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2025 Castanhal 3 - 3 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tuna Luso to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tuna Luso Power 0
Castanhal Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.