AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Feb 08, 2026

CD Marathon

Home
VS
21:00

Real Espana

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
CD Marathon Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Real Espana Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CD Marathon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Real Espana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Under 2.5 Goals 82%
CD Marathon Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 CD Marath… vs Victoria 0-0
Jan 29 CD Marath… vs Juticalpa 3-0
Jan 25 CD Marath… vs Lobos Upn… 1-1
Jan 08 CD Marath… vs CD Olimpia 1-0
Jan 04 CD Marath… vs CD Olimpia 2-2
Dec 28 CD Marath… vs Olancho 2-1
Dec 21 CD Marath… vs Platense … 2-2
Dec 19 CD Marath… vs Platense … 3-0
Dec 12 CD Marath… vs Olancho 0-3
Dec 04 CD Marath… vs Lobos Upn… 2-0
Real Espana Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Real Espa… vs CD Motagua 1-1
Jan 28 Real Espa… vs Génesis 1-2
Jan 25 Real Espa… vs Olancho 2-0
Dec 28 Real Espa… vs CD Olimpia 1-0
Dec 24 Real Espa… vs CD Motagua 1-1
Dec 14 Real Espa… vs CD Motagua 0-3
Dec 11 Real Espa… vs CD Olimpia 0-1
Dec 07 Real Espa… vs Lobos Upn… 0-0
Nov 27 Real Espa… vs Génesis 1-0
Nov 24 Real Espa… vs CD Motagua 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 16, 2025 CD Marathon 0 - 0 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Aug 03, 2025 Real Espana 1 - 0 CD Marathon Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CD Marathon to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CD Marathon Power 0
Real Espana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

CD Marathon Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Real Espana Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.