Liga Nacional · Feb 01, 2026 21:00
Génesis
PWR 37
0 - 0
FT
Atlético Choloma
PWR 20
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Génesis to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense48
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.5
Attack35
Defense10
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.6
Génesis Form LLDDL
DOWN
Atlético Cholo… Form DLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS33%
Under 2.539%
Génesis Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Atlético Ch… Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.75
Génesis
vs
0.42
Atlético Cholo…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Génesis
+3
Gap
#11
Atlético Ch…
WR 21% 52 pts WR 13% 13 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Génesis52111922587852
Atlético Choloma233416235913
Génesis 4.0%
Jan 28 Génesis v Real Es… 1-2
Jan 26 Génesis v CD Olim… 1-0
Dec 07 Génesis v Platens… 1-1
Dec 03 Génesis v Jutical… 2-2
Nov 27 Génesis v Real Es… 1-0
Nov 23 Génesis v Victoria 2-1
Nov 09 Génesis v CD Olim… 6-2
Nov 02 Génesis v Atlétic… 1-0
Oct 26 Génesis v Olancho 2-2
Oct 18 Génesis v CD Mara… 0-3
Atlético Cholo… 2.0%
Jan 29 Atlétic… v Lobos U… 1-1
Jan 24 Atlétic… v Jutical… 1-0
Dec 07 Atlétic… v Olancho 0-4
Dec 02 Atlétic… v Victoria 4-1
Nov 27 Atlétic… v CD Mara… 0-4
Nov 22 Atlétic… v Platens… 1-4
Nov 09 Atlétic… v CD Mota… 2-1
Nov 02 Atlétic… v Génesis 1-0
Oct 25 Atlétic… v Jutical… 2-2
Oct 19 Atlétic… v Real Es… 3-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Nov 02, 2025 Génesis 1-0 Atlético Chol…
Aug 24, 2025 Atlético Chol… 2-1 Génesis
Key Factors
Génesis struggling (3L in last 5)
Atlético Choloma struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.