AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Feb 05, 2026

SONABEL

Home
VS
15:30

Réal du Faso

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
SONABEL Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Réal du Faso Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.64 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SONABEL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Réal du Faso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
SONABEL Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 SONABEL vs AJEB 4-0
Jan 25 SONABEL vs Etoile Fi… 0-0
Dec 26 SONABEL vs Etoile Fi… 1-2
Dec 18 SONABEL vs AJEB 2-0
Dec 13 SONABEL vs Réal du F… 1-2
Dec 06 SONABEL vs Sporting … 2-1
Nov 30 SONABEL vs Salitas FC 1-1
Nov 24 SONABEL vs USFA 2-0
Nov 14 SONABEL vs Rahimo 0-0
Nov 08 SONABEL vs Vitesse 1-2
Réal du Faso Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Réal du F… vs Sporting … 2-0
Jan 26 Réal du F… vs AJEB 1-0
Dec 26 Réal du F… vs AJEB 0-0
Dec 18 Réal du F… vs Sporting … 1-0
Dec 13 Réal du F… vs SONABEL 1-2
Dec 07 Réal du F… vs Salitas FC 2-2
Dec 03 Réal du F… vs Rahimo 0-0
Nov 28 Réal du F… vs CFFEB 0-0
Nov 22 Réal du F… vs Majestic … 1-0
Nov 14 Réal du F… vs USFA 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • SONABEL in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Réal du Faso in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 13, 2025 Réal du Faso 1 - 2 SONABEL Ligue 1
Apr 28, 2025 SONABEL 0 - 3 Réal du Faso Ligue 1
Oct 21, 2024 Réal du Faso 0 - 3 SONABEL Ligue 1
Feb 25, 2023 Réal du Faso 1 - 1 SONABEL Ligue 1
Nov 12, 2022 SONABEL 0 - 0 Réal du Faso Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SONABEL Power 0
Réal du Faso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

SONABEL Position

+3

Position Gap

11

Réal du Faso Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.