Cearense - 1 · Feb 08, 2026 21:00

Ceará
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Fortaleza
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Ceará to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (50%) 0-1 (20%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (6%) 0-2 (4%) 2-0 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ceará Form WWWDW
UP
Fortaleza Form DWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.53%
BTTS9%
Under 2.597%
Ceará Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Fortaleza Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Ceará
vs
0.40
Fortaleza
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Ceará
0
Gap
#1
Fortaleza
WR 100% 6 pts WR 50% 4 pts
Ceará 18.0%
Feb 01 Ceará v Horizon… 4-0
Jan 25 Ceará v Ferrovi… 1-5
Jan 22 Ceará v Pague M… 1-4
Jan 17 Ceará v Iguatu 1-1
Jan 15 Ceará v Marangu… 1-0
Jan 10 Ceará v Floresta 0-1
Dec 04 Ceará v Flamengo 1-0
Nov 30 Ceará v Cruzeiro 1-1
Nov 24 Ceará v Mirassol 3-0
Nov 21 Ceará v Interna… 1-2
Fortaleza 18.0%
Jan 31 Fortale… v Iguatu 1-1
Jan 26 Fortale… v Floresta 1-0
Jan 22 Fortale… v Horizon… 0-1
Jan 18 Fortale… v Maracan… 1-0
Jan 15 Fortale… v Quixada 4-0
Jan 11 Fortale… v Ferrovi… 0-0
Dec 03 Fortale… v Corinth… 2-1
Dec 01 Fortale… v Pague M… 1-1
Nov 30 Fortale… v Atletic… 1-0
Nov 26 Fortale… v RB Brag… 0-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 06, 2025 Ceará 1-1 Fortaleza
Jul 13, 2025 Fortaleza 0-1 Ceará
Mar 22, 2025 Ceará 1-1 Fortaleza
Mar 15, 2025 Fortaleza 0-1 Ceará
Feb 08, 2025 Fortaleza 1-2 Ceará
Apr 06, 2024 Ceará 1-1 Fortaleza
Mar 30, 2024 Fortaleza 0-0 Ceará
Mar 21, 2024 Fortaleza 0-1 Ceará
Feb 17, 2024 Fortaleza 3-3 Ceará
Apr 08, 2023 Ceará 2-2 Fortaleza
Key Factors
Ceará in strong form (4W in last 5)
Fortaleza in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.