Paraibano · Feb 07, 2026 20:00
Sousa
PWR 35
Sousa
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Atlético Cajazeirense
PWR 35
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sousa to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (22%)
0-0 (14%)
3-0 (13%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sousa Form
LWDLW
STABLE
Atlético Cajaz… Form
WLWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS16%
Under 2.569%
Sousa Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Atlético Ca… Goals
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Sousavs
0.21
Atlético Cajaz…Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings68%
Market57%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Sousa+2
Gap#4
Atlético Ca…
WR 75% 10 pts
WR 25% 9 pts
Sousa
10.0%
| Feb 01 | Sousa v EC de P… | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Sousa v Treze | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Sousa v Botafog… | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Sousa v Serra B… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Sousa v Confian… | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Sousa v Potigua… | 1-0 |
| Mar 30 | Sousa v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| Mar 27 | Sousa v Ferrovi… | 2-0 |
| Mar 23 | Sousa v Botafogo | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Sousa v Serra B… | 1-1 |
Atlético Cajaz…
12.0%
| Feb 01 | Atlétic… v Naciona… | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Atlétic… v Serra B… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Atlétic… v Treze | 1-2 |
| Jan 21 | Atlétic… v EC de P… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Atlétic… v Campine… | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Atlétic… v Sousa | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | Atlétic… v Sousa | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Atlétic… v Sousa | 0-2 |
| May 09 | Atlétic… v Sousa | 0-1 |
| Jul 28 | Atlétic… v Sousa | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Mar 03, 2024 | Atlético Caja… | 1-2 | Sousa |
| Mar 16, 2022 | Sousa | 0-0 | Atlético Caja… |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Atlético Caja… | 0-2 | Sousa |
| May 09, 2021 | Atlético Caja… | 0-1 | Sousa |
| Jul 28, 2020 | Sousa | 1-1 | Atlético Caja… |
Key Factors
Atlético Cajazeirense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.