AI Match Insights

League Cup Jan 28, 2026

Linfield

Home
VS
19:45

Ballymena United

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Linfield Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Ballymena United Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.36 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Linfield Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Ballymena United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Linfield Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Linfield vs Crusaders… 0-1
Jan 16 Linfield vs Larne 0-0
Jan 13 Linfield vs Carrick R… 0-0
Jan 10 Linfield vs Bangor 1-0
Jan 03 Linfield vs Bangor 6-1
Dec 30 Linfield vs Coleraine… 3-1
Dec 26 Linfield vs Glentoran 0-1
Dec 20 Linfield vs Glentoran 2-1
Dec 13 Linfield vs Crusaders… 4-0
Dec 05 Linfield vs Larne 0-0
Ballymena United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Ballymena… vs Dungannon… 2-0
Jan 13 Ballymena… vs Cliftonvi… 2-2
Dec 30 Ballymena… vs Bangor 2-0
Dec 26 Ballymena… vs Coleraine… 2-0
Dec 20 Ballymena… vs Carrick R… 1-1
Dec 13 Ballymena… vs Portadown 1-0
Dec 06 Ballymena… vs Dungannon… 1-2
Dec 02 Ballymena… vs Larne 2-0
Nov 29 Ballymena… vs Glentoran 3-1
Nov 22 Ballymena… vs Crusaders… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Linfield in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2025 Linfield 2 - 1 Ballymena United Premiership
Sep 16, 2025 Ballymena United 1 - 0 Linfield Premiership
Feb 07, 2025 Ballymena United 2 - 2 Linfield Premiership
Nov 09, 2024 Linfield 2 - 0 Ballymena United Premiership
Aug 10, 2024 Ballymena United 0 - 2 Linfield Premiership
Feb 24, 2024 Linfield 2 - 0 Ballymena United Premiership
Feb 03, 2024 Linfield 2 - 0 Ballymena United Irish Cup
Nov 25, 2023 Linfield 4 - 0 Ballymena United Premiership
Aug 18, 2023 Ballymena United 0 - 1 Linfield Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Linfield to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Linfield Power 0
Ballymena United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.