FA Trophy · Jan 28, 2026 19:45

Mgarr United
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Mosta
PWR 41
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack23
Defense65
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.0
Mgarr United Form WWLDL
STABLE
Mosta Form WLWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS42%
Under 2.561%
Mgarr United Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Mosta Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Mgarr United
vs
1.46
Mosta
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum41%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#20
Mgarr United
-7
Gap
#13
Mosta
WR 0% 1 pts WR 33% 4 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Mgarr United1010001
Mosta3111234
Mgarr United 10.0%
Jan 18 Mgarr U… v Mtarfa 1-3
Jan 10 Mgarr U… v Swieqi … 5-1
Dec 21 Mgarr U… v Sirens 2-3
Dec 13 Mgarr U… v Pietà H… 1-1
Dec 10 Mgarr U… v Melita 1-3
Nov 29 Mgarr U… v Marsa 2-3
Nov 23 Mgarr U… v Santa L… 3-3
Nov 01 Mgarr U… v Zebbug … 0-1
Oct 26 Mgarr U… v Balzan … 1-4
Sep 27 Mgarr U… v Vittori… 1-0
Mosta 10.0%
Jan 25 Mosta v Floriana 2-1
Jan 16 Mosta v Vallett… 0-5
Jan 11 Mosta v Hiberni… 0-2
Jan 08 Mosta v Tarxien… 2-2
Dec 19 Mosta v Naxxar … 2-3
Dec 12 Mosta v Zabbar … 1-1
Nov 24 Mosta v Gżira U… 1-0
Nov 02 Mosta v Tarxien… 0-1
Oct 29 Mosta v Naxxar … 3-0
Oct 24 Mosta v Zabbar … 1-1
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.