AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Trophy Jan 28, 2026

Floriana

Home
VS
17:00

Zabbar St. Patrick

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Floriana Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Zabbar St. Patrick Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 66%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
xG: 1.42 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8 Market confidence: 63% Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Floriana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Zabbar St. Patrick Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Floriana Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Floriana vs Mosta 2-1
Jan 17 Floriana vs Naxxar Li… 3-1
Jan 10 Floriana vs Valletta … 0-0
Jan 07 Floriana vs Hamrun Sp… 0-2
Jan 03 Floriana vs Marsaxlokk 1-0
Dec 20 Floriana vs Sliema Wa… 2-1
Dec 13 Floriana vs Birkirkar… 2-0
Nov 23 Floriana vs Marsaxlokk 2-1
Nov 01 Floriana vs Sliema Wa… 2-2
Oct 29 Floriana vs Hamrun Sp… 1-3
Zabbar St. Patrick Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Zabbar St… vs Naxxar Li… 2-1
Jan 16 Zabbar St… vs Sliema Wa… 1-0
Jan 11 Zabbar St… vs Gżira Uni… 0-2
Jan 08 Zabbar St… vs Naxxar Li… 1-2
Dec 18 Zabbar St… vs Hibernian… 3-3
Dec 12 Zabbar St… vs Mosta 1-1
Nov 24 Zabbar St… vs Tarxien R… 2-2
Nov 02 Zabbar St… vs Valletta … 0-2
Oct 29 Zabbar St… vs Marsaxlokk 1-0
Oct 24 Zabbar St… vs Mosta 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2025 Floriana 3 - 1 Zabbar St. Patrick Premier League
Feb 02, 2025 Floriana 1 - 0 Zabbar St. Patrick Premier League
Aug 28, 2024 Zabbar St. Patrick 0 - 3 Floriana Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Floriana to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Floriana Power 0
Zabbar St. Patrick Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.