AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League Cup Feb 04, 2026

Reading FC U21

Home
VS
19:00

Stoke City U21

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Reading FC U21 Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Stoke City U21 Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.36 - 1.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.3
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Reading FC U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Stoke City U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Reading FC U21 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Reading F… vs Burnley U… 1-3
Jan 26 Reading F… vs Nottingha… 0-1
Jan 22 Reading F… vs AFC Bourn… 2-0
Jan 19 Reading F… vs Blackburn… 4-1
Jan 10 Reading F… vs Leeds Uni… 0-2
Dec 19 Reading F… vs Hull City… 1-0
Dec 13 Reading F… vs Birmingha… 2-0
Nov 21 Reading F… vs Hull City… 0-2
Nov 08 Reading F… vs Chelsea U… 4-1
Nov 01 Reading F… vs Fulham U21 1-5
Stoke City U21 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Stoke Cit… vs Mancheste… 1-6
Jan 23 Stoke Cit… vs Tottenham… 1-2
Jan 16 Stoke Cit… vs Leeds Uni… 0-1
Dec 21 Stoke Cit… vs Derby Cou… 1-1
Dec 15 Stoke Cit… vs Sheffield… 4-2
Nov 30 Stoke Cit… vs Bristol C… 3-2
Nov 21 Stoke Cit… vs Derby Cou… 2-2
Nov 07 Stoke Cit… vs Crystal P… 2-2
Nov 02 Stoke Cit… vs West Brom… 1-1
Oct 28 Stoke Cit… vs Sheffield… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Reading FC U21 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Stoke City U21 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 27, 2025 Reading FC U21 1 - 5 Stoke City U21 Premier League…
Aug 14, 2023 Stoke City U21 0 - 2 Reading FC U21 Premier League…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Reading FC U21 to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Reading FC U21 Power 47
Stoke City U21 Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.