FAW Championship · Mar 24, 2026 19:45
Cwmbran Celtic
PWR 28
Baglan Dragons
PWR 41
PWR 41
2-1
predicted
Cwmbran Celtic
PWR 28
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Baglan Dragons to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (23%)0-2 (19%)0-0 (14%)0-3 (11%)1-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.3x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.47x
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
41Attack38
54Defense26
Goals/G
1.21.1
Conc/G
1.32.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Baglan Dragons
DLLWL
STABLE
Cwmbran Celtic
DDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Baglan Dragonsvs
1.68
Cwmbran CelticGoal Probability
Baglan Drag…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Cwmbran Cel…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#22
Baglan Drag…+2
Gap#24
Cwmbran Cel…
WR 25% 63 pts
WR 18% 45 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 56 | 14 | 21 | 21 | 66 | 74 | 63 |
| Cwmbran Celtic | 63 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 69 | 134 | 45 |
Baglan Dragons
6.0%
| Mar 20 | Baglan … v Ammanfo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 17 | Baglan … v Treowen… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Baglan … v Caerau … | 0-5 |
| Mar 06 | Baglan … v Newport… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Baglan … v Pontypr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Baglan … v Trefelin | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Baglan … v Cardiff… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Baglan … v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Baglan … v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Baglan … v Llantwi… | 0-0 |
Cwmbran Celtic
4.0%
| Mar 21 | Cwmbran… v Caerau … | 0-0 |
| Mar 17 | Cwmbran… v Pontypr… | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Cwmbran… v Llantwi… | 1-3 |
| Mar 06 | Cwmbran… v Ynyshir… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Cwmbran… v Llantwi… | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | Cwmbran… v Trethom… | 2-0 |
| Jan 16 | Cwmbran… v Cardiff… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Cwmbran… v Caernar… | 2-2 |
| Jan 02 | Cwmbran… v Treowen… | 1-2 |
| Dec 27 | Cwmbran… v Newport… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 31, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic | 0-1 | Baglan Dragons |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic | 0-2 | Baglan Dragons |
| Sep 07, 2024 | Baglan Dragons | 4-3 | Cwmbran Celtic |
| Mar 09, 2024 | Cwmbran Celtic | 1-1 | Baglan Dragons |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Baglan Dragons | 3-3 | Cwmbran Celtic |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
61%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Baglan Dragons struggling (3L in last 5)
Cwmbran Celtic struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.