AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Alagoas Feb 04, 2026

CSA

Home
VS
19:00

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
CSA Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.48 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CSA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
CSA Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 CSA vs CSE 0-1
Jan 24 CSA vs CRB 1-1
Jan 21 CSA vs Murici FC 0-1
Jan 17 CSA vs ASA 0-0
Jan 14 CSA vs Penedense 2-0
Jan 11 CSA vs Coruripe 3-0
Aug 30 CSA vs Brusque 2-0
Aug 25 CSA vs Ponte Pre… 1-2
Aug 21 CSA vs Confiança 0-1
Aug 16 CSA vs Ituano 2-2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Cruzeiro … vs Coruripe 2-1
Jan 28 Cruzeiro … vs CRB II 0-0
Jan 24 Cruzeiro … vs Murici FC 0-2
Jan 21 Cruzeiro … vs CRB 1-0
Jan 18 Cruzeiro … vs CSE 1-2
Jan 14 Cruzeiro … vs ASA 2-4
Jan 10 Cruzeiro … vs Penedense 1-0
Oct 18 Cruzeiro … vs Guaraní A… 2-2
Oct 12 Cruzeiro … vs Guaraní A… 2-1
Oct 06 Cruzeiro … vs Dimensão … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • CSA in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 13, 2024 CSA 2 - 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Copa Alagoas
Jan 24, 2024 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 0 - 2 CSA Alagoano
Feb 11, 2023 CSA 1 - 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Alagoano
Mar 02, 2022 CSA 2 - 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Alagoano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CSA to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CSA Power 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.