AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Mar 20, 2021

Al-Ahli Saudi

Home
VS
16:45

Al-Qadisiyah

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Al-Qadisiyah Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.01 - 1.85
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Al-Qadisiyah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 1-2 (10%) 0-2 (10%) 1-3 (6%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Nassr 1-2
Mar 06 Al-Ahli S… vs Damac 1-3
Feb 28 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 2-5
Feb 14 Al-Ahli S… vs Damac 1-0
Jan 24 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-2
Jan 08 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Qadisi… 3-1
Jan 02 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Taawou… 0-3
Dec 22 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 1-0
Dec 21 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Qadisi… 1-3
Dec 12 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Nassr 1-2
Al-Qadisiyah Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Shabab 1-1
Feb 28 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ittiha… 1-4
Feb 18 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Nassr 1-0
Feb 06 Al-Qadisi… vs Damac 2-2
Jan 31 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Wehda … 2-2
Jan 19 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Fateh … 1-1
Jan 08 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ahli S… 3-1
Dec 27 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-2
Dec 21 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ahli S… 1-3
Dec 16 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Shabab 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Ahli Saudi struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 08, 2021 Al-Qadisiyah 3 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Dec 21, 2020 Al-Qadisiyah 1 - 3 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Ahli Saudi Power 0
Al-Qadisiyah Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Al-Ahli Saudi Position

+1

Position Gap

4

Al-Qadisiyah Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.