Sudani Premier League · Feb 07, 2026 13:30
Al Ahli Khartoum
PWR 35
Al Ahli Khartoum
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Umm Mughad
PWR 52
PWR 52
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Umm Mughad to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-3 (6%)
2-3 (5%)
1-2 (5%)
0-3 (4%)
2-2 (4%)
0-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack28
Defense47
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.5
Attack55
Defense65
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Al Ahli Kharto… Form
LWLLD
STABLE
Umm Mughad Form
WLDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS79%
Under 2.530%
Al Ahli Kha… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Umm Mughad Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Al Ahli Kharto…vs
4.00
Umm MughadDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Al Ahli Kha…+2
Gap#12
Umm Mughad
WR 29% 22 pts
WR 33% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Khartoum | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 32 | 22 |
| Umm Mughad | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 18 |
Al Ahli Kharto…
6.0%
| Feb 03 | Al Ahli… v Merreik… | 1-5 |
| Feb 01 | Al Ahli… v Al Rabt… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Al Ahli… v Al Ahli… | 1-4 |
| Jan 23 | Al Ahli… v Al Hila… | 3-1 |
| Jan 20 | Al Ahli… v Umm Mug… | 2-2 |
| Jan 16 | Al Ahli… v Merreik… | 0-0 |
| Jan 12 | Al Ahli… v Al Rabt… | 1-0 |
| Jan 07 | Al Ahli… v Al Ahli… | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Al Ahli… v Al Fall… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Al Ahli… v Alamal … | 2-0 |
Umm Mughad
12.0%
| Feb 04 | Umm Mug… v Al Rabt… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Umm Mug… v Al Ahli… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Umm Mug… v Al Hila… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Umm Mug… v Merreik… | 4-0 |
| Jan 20 | Umm Mug… v Al Ahli… | 2-2 |
| Jan 15 | Umm Mug… v Al Rabt… | 0-3 |
| Jan 11 | Umm Mug… v Al Ahli… | 1-3 |
| Jan 07 | Umm Mug… v Al Hila… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Umm Mug… v Kober | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Umm Mug… v Hay Al … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 20, 2026 | Umm Mughad | 2-2 | Al Ahli Khart… |
Key Factors
Al Ahli Khartoum struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.