Copa EspĂrito Santo · Aug 17, 2024 18:00
Vitoria
PWR 60
Vitoria
PWR 60
1 - 0
FT
Real Noroeste
PWR 44
PWR 44
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Vitoria to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
3-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
POINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack59
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack54
Defense42
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Vitoria Form
WLWDL
STABLE
Real Noroeste Form
LDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS48%
Under 2.541%
Vitoria Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Real Noroes… Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Vitoriavs
0.67
Real NoroesteDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Vitoria+2
Gap#5
Real Noroes…
WR 55% 42 pts
WR 33% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 42 |
| Real Noroeste | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 21 |
Vitoria
10.0%
| Aug 11 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 0-1 |
| Aug 11 | Vitoria v Bahia | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | Vitoria v Palmeir… | 0-2 |
| Jul 27 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 2-2 |
| Jul 20 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 2-0 |
| Jul 12 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 0-1 |
| Jul 06 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 3-0 |
| Jul 03 | Vitoria v Real No… | 1-2 |
| Jun 23 | Vitoria v RB Brag… | 2-1 |
| Jun 16 | Vitoria v Interna… | 2-1 |
Real Noroeste
6.0%
| Aug 10 | Real No… v Desport… | 1-2 |
| Jul 10 | Real No… v Desport… | 1-1 |
| Jul 03 | Real No… v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| Jun 22 | Real No… v Vilavel… | 3-1 |
| Jun 19 | Real No… v Desport… | 3-1 |
| May 25 | Real No… v Vitoria | 4-4 |
| May 15 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 2-3 |
| May 08 | Real No… v Porto V… | 5-1 |
| Mar 15 | Real No… v Vitoria | 2-4 |
| Mar 11 | Real No… v Vitoria | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jul 03, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 1-2 | Vitoria |
| May 25, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 4-4 | Vitoria |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 2-4 | Vitoria |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Vitoria | 3-1 | Real Noroeste |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-3 | Real Noroeste |
Key Factors
Real Noroeste struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.