Capixaba · Mar 15, 2024 22:00
Vitoria
PWR 51
Real Noroeste
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 4
FT
Vitoria
PWR 51
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Vitoria to win (73% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
73%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack54
Defense57
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.2
Real Noroeste Form
LWLDW
STABLE
Vitoria Form
WWWLD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS59%
Under 2.535%
Real Noroes… Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Vitoria Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Real Noroestevs
1.01
VitoriaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Real Noroes…+4
Gap#7
Vitoria
WR 36% 61 pts
WR 41% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Noroeste | 44 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 61 |
| Vitoria | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 24 |
Real Noroeste
10.0%
| Mar 11 | Real No… v Vitoria | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Real No… v Desport… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Real No… v Porto V… | 0-2 |
| Feb 10 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Real No… v Serra T… | 5-1 |
| Jan 31 | Real No… v Vitoria | 2-3 |
| Apr 06 | Real No… v Porto V… | 1-0 |
| Mar 31 | Real No… v Porto V… | 2-1 |
Vitoria
14.0%
| Mar 11 | Vitoria v Real No… | 3-1 |
| Mar 10 | Vitoria v Barcelo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Vitoria v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Vitoria v Desport… | 1-2 |
| Feb 05 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Vitoria v Jequié | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Vitoria v Real No… | 2-3 |
| Jan 25 | Vitoria v Barcelo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Vitoria v Jataien… | 0-1 |
| Nov 25 | Vitoria v Chapeco… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 11, 2024 | Vitoria | 3-1 | Real Noroeste |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-3 | Real Noroeste |
Key Factors
Vitoria in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.