Primera DivisiĂłn · Feb 01, 2026 21:00

Estudiantes de Merida FC
PWR 35

Caracas FC
PWR 35

Estudiantes de Merida FC
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Caracas FC
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (7%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Estudiantes de… Form
LWWLL
STABLE
Caracas FC Form
LDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS47%
Under 2.552%
Estudiantes… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Caracas FC Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Estudiantes de…vs
0.83
Caracas FCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings48%
Market42%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Estudiantes…-1
Gap#7
Caracas FC
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Estudiantes de…
8.0%
| Oct 05 | Estudia… v Yaracuy… | 0-2 |
| Sep 27 | Estudia… v Puerto … | 1-2 |
| Sep 20 | Estudia… v Portugu… | 2-0 |
| Sep 12 | Estudia… v Metropo… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Estudia… v Deporti… | 4-0 |
| Aug 24 | Estudia… v Real Es… | 1-2 |
| Aug 16 | Estudia… v Academi… | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Estudia… v Caracas… | 1-0 |
| Aug 02 | Estudia… v Rayo Zu… | 2-1 |
| Jul 23 | Estudia… v UCV | 0-0 |
Caracas FC
12.0%
| Nov 09 | Caracas… v Carabob… | 2-0 |
| Nov 05 | Caracas… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Caracas… v Metropo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Caracas… v Metropo… | 2-3 |
| Oct 22 | Caracas… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Oct 19 | Caracas… v Carabob… | 0-0 |
| Oct 05 | Caracas… v UCV | 1-5 |
| Sep 28 | Caracas… v Monagas… | 2-2 |
| Sep 20 | Caracas… v Zamora | 2-0 |
| Sep 14 | Caracas… v Carabob… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 10, 2025 | Estudiantes d… | 1-0 | Caracas FC |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Caracas FC | 0-0 | Estudiantes d… |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Caracas FC | 2-3 | Estudiantes d… |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Estudiantes d… | 1-1 | Caracas FC |
| Aug 05, 2023 | Estudiantes d… | 0-2 | Caracas FC |
| Apr 09, 2023 | Caracas FC | 2-2 | Estudiantes d… |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Estudiantes d… | 1-1 | Caracas FC |
| Oct 07, 2022 | Caracas FC | 1-2 | Estudiantes d… |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Caracas FC | 3-1 | Estudiantes d… |
| May 07, 2022 | Estudiantes d… | 0-0 | Caracas FC |
Key Factors
Estudiantes de Merida FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.