Primera DivisiĂłn · Feb 01, 2026 21:00

Estudiantes de Merida FC
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Caracas FC
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Estudiantes de… Form LWWLL
STABLE
Caracas FC Form LDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS47%
Under 2.552%
Estudiantes… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Caracas FC Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Estudiantes de…
vs
0.83
Caracas FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings48%
Market42%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Estudiantes…
-1
Gap
#7
Caracas FC
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Estudiantes de… 8.0%
Oct 05 Estudia… v Yaracuy… 0-2
Sep 27 Estudia… v Puerto … 1-2
Sep 20 Estudia… v Portugu… 2-0
Sep 12 Estudia… v Metropo… 1-0
Aug 31 Estudia… v Deporti… 4-0
Aug 24 Estudia… v Real Es… 1-2
Aug 16 Estudia… v Academi… 0-1
Aug 10 Estudia… v Caracas… 1-0
Aug 02 Estudia… v Rayo Zu… 2-1
Jul 23 Estudia… v UCV 0-0
Caracas FC 12.0%
Nov 09 Caracas… v Carabob… 2-0
Nov 05 Caracas… v Deporti… 0-0
Nov 01 Caracas… v Metropo… 1-1
Oct 26 Caracas… v Metropo… 2-3
Oct 22 Caracas… v Deporti… 2-3
Oct 19 Caracas… v Carabob… 0-0
Oct 05 Caracas… v UCV 1-5
Sep 28 Caracas… v Monagas… 2-2
Sep 20 Caracas… v Zamora 2-0
Sep 14 Caracas… v Carabob… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Aug 10, 2025 Estudiantes d… 1-0 Caracas FC
Mar 01, 2025 Caracas FC 0-0 Estudiantes d…
Aug 15, 2024 Caracas FC 2-3 Estudiantes d…
Feb 24, 2024 Estudiantes d… 1-1 Caracas FC
Aug 05, 2023 Estudiantes d… 0-2 Caracas FC
Apr 09, 2023 Caracas FC 2-2 Estudiantes d…
Oct 14, 2022 Estudiantes d… 1-1 Caracas FC
Oct 07, 2022 Caracas FC 1-2 Estudiantes d…
Jul 16, 2022 Caracas FC 3-1 Estudiantes d…
May 07, 2022 Estudiantes d… 0-0 Caracas FC
Key Factors
Estudiantes de Merida FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.