AI Match Insights

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Serie A Feb 25, 2026

Cruzeiro

Home
VS
23:00

Corinthians

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Cruzeiro Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Corinthians Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.46 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruzeiro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Cruzeiro Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Cruzeiro vs Coritiba 1-2
Feb 01 Cruzeiro vs Betim 0-1
Jan 30 Cruzeiro vs Botafogo 4-0
Jan 25 Cruzeiro vs Atletico-… 2-1
Jan 22 Cruzeiro vs Democrata… 0-1
Jan 17 Cruzeiro vs Uberlândia 5-0
Jan 15 Cruzeiro vs Tombense 1-2
Jan 10 Cruzeiro vs Pouso Ale… 1-2
Dec 14 Cruzeiro vs Corinthia… 1-2
Dec 11 Cruzeiro vs Corinthia… 0-1
Corinthians Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Corinthia… vs Capivaria… 3-0
Feb 01 Corinthia… vs Flamengo 0-1
Jan 28 Corinthia… vs Bahia 1-2
Jan 25 Corinthia… vs Velo Clube 0-1
Jan 22 Corinthia… vs Santos 1-1
Jan 18 Corinthia… vs São Paulo… 1-1
Jan 15 Corinthia… vs RB Bragan… 3-0
Jan 11 Corinthia… vs Ponte Pre… 3-0
Dec 18 Corinthia… vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Dec 14 Corinthia… vs Cruzeiro 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Corinthians in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Cruzeiro struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 14, 2025 Corinthians 1 - 2 Cruzeiro Copa do Brasil
Dec 11, 2025 Cruzeiro 0 - 1 Corinthians Copa do Brasil
Nov 23, 2025 Cruzeiro 3 - 0 Corinthians Serie A
Sep 14, 2025 Corinthians 1 - 0 Cruzeiro Brasileiro Wom…
Sep 07, 2025 Cruzeiro 2 - 2 Corinthians Brasileiro Wom…
Jul 23, 2025 Corinthians 0 - 0 Cruzeiro Serie A
Nov 20, 2024 Corinthians 2 - 1 Cruzeiro Serie A
Aug 17, 2024 Cruzeiro 7 - 2 Corinthians Brasileiro Wom…
Jul 07, 2024 Cruzeiro 3 - 0 Corinthians Serie A
Aug 20, 2023 Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Corinthians Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruzeiro to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruzeiro Power 0
Corinthians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Cruzeiro Position

-1

Position Gap

19

Corinthians Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.