AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 11, 2026

Vitoria

Home
VS
00:30

Flamengo

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Vitoria Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Flamengo Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 83%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 3.35 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Flamengo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Vitoria Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Vitoria vs Palmeiras 5-1
Feb 01 Vitoria vs Barcelona… 0-2
Jan 28 Vitoria vs Remo 2-0
Jan 25 Vitoria vs Bahia 0-1
Jan 21 Vitoria vs Juazeiren… 4-0
Jan 18 Vitoria vs Porto BA 1-1
Jan 13 Vitoria vs Jacuipense 0-0
Jan 10 Vitoria vs Atlético … 0-0
Dec 03 Vitoria vs RB Bragan… 4-0
Nov 29 Vitoria vs Mirassol 2-0
Flamengo Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Flamengo vs Internaci… 1-1
Feb 01 Flamengo vs Corinthia… 0-1
Jan 29 Flamengo vs São Paulo… 2-1
Jan 25 Flamengo vs Fluminense 2-1
Jan 22 Flamengo vs Vasco DA … 1-0
Jan 18 Flamengo vs Volta Red… 3-0
Jan 15 Flamengo vs Bangu 2-1
Jan 11 Flamengo vs Portugues… 1-1
Dec 13 Flamengo vs Al Assiou… 2-0
Dec 10 Flamengo vs Cruz Azul 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vitoria in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Flamengo struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 26, 2025 Flamengo 8 - 0 Vitoria Serie A
Apr 06, 2025 Vitoria 1 - 2 Flamengo Serie A
Dec 08, 2024 Flamengo 2 - 2 Vitoria Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vitoria Power 0
Flamengo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Vitoria Position

+2

Position Gap

14

Flamengo Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.