FAW Championship · Jan 06, 2023 19:30
Guilsfield
PWR 35
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT
Buckley Town
PWR 35
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guilsfield Form
WWLWL
STABLE
Buckley Town Form
WWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS69%
Under 2.532%
Guilsfield Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Buckley Town Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Guilsfieldvs
1.55
Buckley TownDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings66%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Guilsfield+3
Gap#8
Buckley Town
WR 70% 33 pts
WR 33% 27 pts
Guilsfield
12.0%
| Nov 19 | Guilsfi… v Penrhyn… | 4-1 |
| Oct 01 | Guilsfi… v Buckley… | 0-1 |
| Aug 29 | Guilsfi… v Llandud… | 2-1 |
| Aug 19 | Guilsfi… v Ruthin … | 0-1 |
| Aug 06 | Guilsfi… v Ruthin … | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Guilsfi… v Buckley… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Guilsfi… v Penrhyn… | 3-0 |
| Feb 12 | Guilsfi… v Ruthin … | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Guilsfi… v Llandud… | 0-0 |
| Sep 18 | Guilsfi… v Penrhyn… | 2-2 |
Buckley Town
16.0%
| Dec 27 | Buckley… v Gresfor… | 0-3 |
| Dec 07 | Buckley… v Mold Al… | 2-1 |
| Nov 26 | Buckley… v Mold Al… | 2-0 |
| Nov 05 | Buckley… v Penrhyn… | 3-4 |
| Oct 29 | Buckley… v Gresfor… | 3-2 |
| Oct 01 | Buckley… v Guilsfi… | 0-1 |
| Sep 20 | Buckley… v Gresfor… | 2-2 |
| Aug 26 | Buckley… v Llandud… | 1-0 |
| Jul 23 | Buckley… v Penrhyn… | 0-2 |
| Apr 01 | Buckley… v Gresfor… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 01, 2022 | Buckley Town | 0-1 | Guilsfield |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Buckley Town | 1-1 | Guilsfield |
| Jul 27, 2021 | Guilsfield | 1-1 | Buckley Town |
Key Factors
Guilsfield in strong form (3W in last 5)
Buckley Town in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.