AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Mar 12, 2024

Qatar SC

Home
VS
18:30

Al Ahli Doha

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Qatar SC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Al Ahli Doha Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 1.09
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Qatar SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Al Ahli Doha Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Qatar SC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 06 Qatar SC vs Al-Arabi … 3-4
Mar 01 Qatar SC vs Al-Sadd SC 3-0
Feb 24 Qatar SC vs UMM Salal 1-1
Jan 02 Qatar SC vs Al-Arabi … 2-2
Dec 28 Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan 1-2
Dec 20 Qatar SC vs Al-Dhafra 2-1
Dec 09 Qatar SC vs Al-Duhail 1-1
Oct 29 Qatar SC vs Al-Markhi… 4-0
Oct 21 Qatar SC vs Al Ahli D… 2-4
Oct 15 Qatar SC vs Al-Arabi … 1-1
Al Ahli Doha Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 3-2
Nov 18 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 4-2
Oct 21 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 2-4
Sep 09 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 2-1
May 04 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 2-0
Mar 18 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 5-2
Oct 14 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Ahli Doha struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 21, 2023 Al Ahli Doha 2 - 4 Qatar SC Stars League
Sep 09, 2023 Qatar SC 2 - 1 Al Ahli Doha QSL Cup
May 04, 2023 Qatar SC 2 - 0 Al Ahli Doha Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Qatar SC Power 0
Al Ahli Doha Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Qatar SC Position

+3

Position Gap

10

Al Ahli Doha Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.