Predictions Match Details
Paulista - A1 · Feb 12, 2023 22:00

São Paulo FC
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

Santos
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
São Paulo FC Form LLLLD
DOWN
Santos Form LLDWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS39%
Under 2.538%
São Paulo FC Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Santos Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.39
São Paulo FC
vs
0.52
Santos
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings75%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
São Paulo FC
+3
Gap
#14
Santos
WR 67% 8 pts WR 0% 6 pts
São Paulo FC 2.0%
Jan 29 São Pau… v Corinth… 1-2
Nov 09 São Pau… v Interna… 0-1
Nov 05 São Pau… v Flumine… 3-1
Aug 21 São Pau… v Santos 1-0
Jul 20 São Pau… v Interna… 3-3
Jul 17 São Pau… v Flumine… 2-2
Jun 01 São Pau… v São Gab… 3-0
May 02 São Pau… v Santos 2-1
Apr 24 São Pau… v São Gab… 2-1
Mar 22 São Pau… v São Ber… 4-1
Santos 6.0%
Feb 04 Santos v Palmeir… 3-1
Jan 19 Santos v Guaraní… 2-0
Jan 15 Santos v Parnahy… 0-0
Jan 14 Santos v Mirassol 2-1
Oct 22 Santos v Corinth… 0-1
Oct 17 Santos v RB Brag… 0-2
Oct 10 Santos v Juventu… 4-1
Oct 01 Santos v Interna… 1-0
Sep 28 Santos v Athleti… 2-0
Sep 18 Santos v Palmeir… 1-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Aug 21, 2022 Santos 1-0 São Paulo FC
May 02, 2022 São Paulo FC 2-1 Santos
Feb 20, 2022 Santos 0-3 São Paulo FC
Key Factors
São Paulo FC struggling (4L in last 5)
Santos struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.