AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Alagoano Mar 30, 2024

ASA

Home
VS
20:00

CRB

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
ASA Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
CRB Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.09 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ASA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
CRB Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
ASA Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 ASA vs CSE 2-0
Mar 13 ASA vs CSE 3-0
Mar 10 ASA vs CSE 1-1
Mar 06 ASA vs Cruzeiro … 0-0
Mar 02 ASA vs CRB 0-2
Feb 24 ASA vs Murici FC 2-2
Feb 21 ASA vs Penedense 0-0
Feb 18 ASA vs Penedense 1-2
Feb 14 ASA vs Coruripe 2-1
Feb 07 ASA vs CSA 2-0
CRB Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 CRB vs Murici FC 3-0
Mar 09 CRB vs Murici FC 1-2
Mar 02 CRB vs ASA 0-2
Feb 25 CRB vs Coruripe 0-1
Feb 18 CRB vs Cruzeiro … 1-0
Feb 07 CRB vs CSE 1-1
Jan 28 CRB vs CSA 1-3
Jan 24 CRB vs Murici FC 1-0
Jan 20 CRB vs Penedense 0-1
Nov 25 CRB vs Ponte Pre… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • ASA in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • CRB in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 02, 2024 CRB 0 - 2 ASA Alagoano
Apr 08, 2023 CRB 1 - 0 ASA Alagoano
Apr 01, 2023 ASA 0 - 2 CRB Alagoano
Jan 31, 2023 ASA 1 - 2 CRB Alagoano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: ASA to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ASA Power 0
CRB Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

ASA Position

+1

Position Gap

2

CRB Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.