Predictions Match Details
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX · Jun 27, 2022 22:00

Tepatitlán
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Dorados
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Tepatitlán to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Tepatitlán Form WWWDL
UP
Dorados Form LLLWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS27%
Under 2.574%
Tepatitlán Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Dorados Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Tepatitlán
vs
0.46
Dorados
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings76%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Tepatitlán
+8
Gap
#9
Dorados
WR 67% 11 pts WR 0% 5 pts
Tepatitlán 14.0%
Mar 27 Tepatit… v Atlante… 2-1
Mar 02 Tepatit… v Tapatío 1-0
Feb 16 Tepatit… v Dorados 2-0
Jan 13 Tepatit… v Correca… 1-1
Dec 05 Tepatit… v Dorados 1-0
Dec 02 Tepatit… v Dorados 0-1
Nov 07 Tepatit… v Atlante… 1-0
Aug 05 Tepatit… v Correca… 2-1
Mar 10 Tepatit… v Correca… 1-0
Dorados 8.0%
Mar 30 Dorados v Venados… 2-1
Mar 10 Dorados v Mineros… 0-1
Feb 16 Dorados v Tepatit… 2-0
Jan 18 Dorados v CancĂşn 1-2
Dec 05 Dorados v Tepatit… 1-0
Dec 02 Dorados v Tepatit… 0-1
Oct 28 Dorados v Venados… 3-0
Sep 30 Dorados v Mineros… 1-4
Sep 03 Dorados v CancĂşn 2-0
Feb 21 Dorados v Venados… 0-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Feb 16, 2022 Tepatitlán 2-0 Dorados
Dec 05, 2021 Dorados 1-0 Tepatitlán
Dec 02, 2021 Tepatitlán 0-1 Dorados
Key Factors
Tepatitlán in strong form (3W in last 5)
Dorados struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.