AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Soccer League Feb 08, 2025

Mamelodi Sundowns FC

Home
VS
13:30

Orlando Pirates

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Orlando Pirates Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.14 - 0.93
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Orlando Pirates Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 3-0
Nov 23 Mamelodi … vs Magesi 2-1
Nov 10 Mamelodi … vs Marumo Ga… 0-2
Nov 02 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 0-4
Oct 19 Mamelodi … vs Golden Ar… 5-0
Sep 01 Mamelodi … vs Stellenbo… 1-0
Aug 28 Mamelodi … vs Stellenbo… 0-1
Aug 11 Mamelodi … vs Polokwane… 1-0
Jun 01 Mamelodi … vs Orlando P… 1-2
May 25 Mamelodi … vs Cape Town… 0-1
Orlando Pirates Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Orlando P… vs Sekhukhun… 1-2
Jan 26 Orlando P… vs Richards … 1-3
Dec 29 Orlando P… vs Magesi 0-1
Nov 05 Orlando P… vs Richards … 1-0
Oct 25 Orlando P… vs Amazulu 2-1
Oct 19 Orlando P… vs Magesi 2-3
Oct 05 Orlando P… vs Stellenbo… 3-1
Sep 29 Orlando P… vs Richards … 0-1
Sep 18 Orlando P… vs Chippa Un… 2-1
Aug 31 Orlando P… vs Cape Town… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mamelodi Sundowns FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Orlando Pirates in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 01, 2024 Mamelodi Sundowns FC 1 - 2 Orlando Pirates Cup
Feb 17, 2024 Mamelodi Sundowns FC 1 - 1 Orlando Pirates Premier Soccer…
Oct 07, 2023 Orlando Pirates 0 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns FC 8 Cup
Sep 20, 2023 Orlando Pirates 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns FC Premier Soccer…
Feb 04, 2023 Orlando Pirates 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns FC Premier Soccer…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mamelodi Sundowns FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Power 0
Orlando Pirates Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Mamelodi Sundowns FC Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Orlando Pirates Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.