AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Soccer League Feb 17, 2024

Mamelodi Sundowns FC

Home
VS
18:00

Orlando Pirates

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Orlando Pirates Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.82 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Orlando Pirates Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (36%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 Mamelodi … vs Orlando P… 0-0
Sep 20 Mamelodi … vs Orlando P… 0-1
Aug 04 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 1-2
Mar 18 Mamelodi … vs Al Hilal … 1-1
Feb 11 Mamelodi … vs Al Hilal … 1-0
Feb 04 Mamelodi … vs Orlando P… 0-1
Jan 28 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 2-0
Aug 20 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 1-1
May 03 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 0-2
Mar 19 Mamelodi … vs Al Hilal … 2-4
Orlando Pirates Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Orlando P… vs Golden Ar… 1-2
Nov 25 Orlando P… vs Richards … 0-0
Nov 07 Orlando P… vs Sekhukhun… 1-0
Nov 04 Orlando P… vs Richards … 0-0
Oct 24 Orlando P… vs Amazulu 0-0
Oct 07 Orlando P… vs Mamelodi … 0-0
Sep 20 Orlando P… vs Mamelodi … 0-1
Aug 15 Orlando P… vs Chippa Un… 1-1
Aug 12 Orlando P… vs Sekhukhun… 5-0
May 27 Orlando P… vs Sekhukhun… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mamelodi Sundowns FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 07, 2023 Orlando Pirates 0 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns FC 8 Cup
Sep 20, 2023 Orlando Pirates 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns FC Premier Soccer…
Feb 04, 2023 Orlando Pirates 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns FC Premier Soccer…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mamelodi Sundowns FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Power 0
Orlando Pirates Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Mamelodi Sundowns FC Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Orlando Pirates Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.