AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Soccer League Sep 20, 2023

Orlando Pirates

Home
VS
17:30

Mamelodi Sundowns FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Orlando Pirates Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.90 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.0
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Orlando Pirates Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Orlando Pirates Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 Orlando P… vs Chippa Un… 1-1
Aug 12 Orlando P… vs Sekhukhun… 5-0
May 27 Orlando P… vs Sekhukhun… 2-1
May 20 Orlando P… vs Amazulu 0-4
May 13 Orlando P… vs Sekhukhun… 1-1
Apr 08 Orlando P… vs Chippa Un… 0-2
Apr 01 Orlando P… vs Richards … 0-2
Feb 04 Orlando P… vs Mamelodi … 0-1
Nov 05 Orlando P… vs Amazulu 1-0
Oct 14 Orlando P… vs Amazulu 1-1
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 04 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 1-2
Mar 18 Mamelodi … vs Al Hilal … 1-1
Feb 11 Mamelodi … vs Al Hilal … 1-0
Feb 04 Mamelodi … vs Orlando P… 0-1
Jan 28 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 2-0
Aug 20 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 1-1
May 03 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 0-2
Mar 19 Mamelodi … vs Al Hilal … 2-4
Feb 11 Mamelodi … vs Al Hilal … 1-0
Nov 27 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Orlando Pirates in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Mamelodi Sundowns FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2023 Orlando Pirates 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns FC Premier Soccer…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Orlando Pirates to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Orlando Pirates Power 0
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Orlando Pirates Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Mamelodi Sundowns FC Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.