Primera DivisiĂłn · Feb 08, 2026 23:00

Alianza Lima
PWR 35

Comerciantes Unidos
PWR 35

Alianza Lima
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Comerciantes Unidos
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
0-0 (20%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Alianza Lima Form
LWWDD
STABLE
Comerciantes U… Form
WDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS28%
Under 2.578%
Alianza Lima Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Comerciante… Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Alianza Limavs
0.58
Comerciantes U…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings53%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Alianza Lima+2
Gap#6
Comerciante…
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Alianza Lima
12.0%
| Feb 05 | Alianza… v 2 de Ma… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Alianza… v Sport H… | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Alianza… v Colo-Co… | 2-3 |
| Dec 07 | Alianza… v Sportin… | 3-3 |
| Dec 03 | Alianza… v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Alianza… v UTC | 3-0 |
| Nov 05 | Alianza… v Cultura… | 1-2 |
| Nov 01 | Alianza… v FBC Mel… | 2-2 |
| Oct 20 | Alianza… v Sport H… | 1-2 |
| Oct 17 | Alianza… v Sport B… | 3-1 |
Comerciantes U…
12.0%
| Feb 02 | Comerci… v UCV Moq… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Comerci… v ADT | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | Comerci… v Ayacuch… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Comerci… v Sportin… | 1-4 |
| Oct 24 | Comerci… v Juan Pa… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Comerci… v Alianza… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Comerci… v Cusco | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Comerci… v César V… | 0-0 |
| Oct 03 | Comerci… v UTC | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Comerci… v FBC Mel… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 22, 2025 | Alianza Lima | 4-0 | Comerciantes … |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Comerciantes … | 0-1 | Alianza Lima |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Comerciantes … | 1-3 | Alianza Lima |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Alianza Lima | 5-1 | Comerciantes … |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.