Primera DivisiĂłn · Feb 08, 2026 23:00

Alianza Lima
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Comerciantes Unidos
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (20%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Alianza Lima Form LWWDD
STABLE
Comerciantes U… Form WDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS28%
Under 2.578%
Alianza Lima Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Comerciante… Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Alianza Lima
vs
0.58
Comerciantes U…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings53%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Alianza Lima
+2
Gap
#6
Comerciante…
WR 0% 3 pts WR 0% 3 pts
Alianza Lima 12.0%
Feb 05 Alianza… v 2 de Ma… 1-0
Jan 30 Alianza… v Sport H… 1-2
Jan 19 Alianza… v Colo-Co… 2-3
Dec 07 Alianza… v Sportin… 3-3
Dec 03 Alianza… v Sportin… 1-1
Nov 23 Alianza… v UTC 3-0
Nov 05 Alianza… v Cultura… 1-2
Nov 01 Alianza… v FBC Mel… 2-2
Oct 20 Alianza… v Sport H… 1-2
Oct 17 Alianza… v Sport B… 3-1
Comerciantes U… 12.0%
Feb 02 Comerci… v UCV Moq… 1-0
Nov 23 Comerci… v ADT 0-0
Nov 08 Comerci… v Ayacuch… 0-0
Nov 01 Comerci… v Sportin… 1-4
Oct 24 Comerci… v Juan Pa… 0-1
Oct 18 Comerci… v Alianza… 1-0
Oct 12 Comerci… v Cusco 1-1
Oct 05 Comerci… v César V… 0-0
Oct 03 Comerci… v UTC 2-1
Sep 27 Comerci… v FBC Mel… 1-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Sep 22, 2025 Alianza Lima 4-0 Comerciantes …
Jun 19, 2025 Comerciantes … 0-1 Alianza Lima
Aug 03, 2024 Comerciantes … 1-3 Alianza Lima
Feb 25, 2024 Alianza Lima 5-1 Comerciantes …
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.