AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĂłn Feb 08, 2026

Sporting Cristal

Home
VS
16:00

FBC Melgar

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Sporting Cristal Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
FBC Melgar Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.61 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting Cristal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
FBC Melgar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Sporting Cristal Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 1-1
Jan 25 Sporting … vs Universid… 3-1
Dec 14 Sporting … vs Cusco 1-0
Dec 11 Sporting … vs Cusco 1-0
Dec 07 Sporting … vs Alianza L… 3-3
Dec 03 Sporting … vs Alianza L… 1-1
Nov 19 Sporting … vs Atletico … 1-2
Nov 07 Sporting … vs Cienciano 2-1
Nov 01 Sporting … vs Comercian… 1-4
Oct 26 Sporting … vs Cultural … 0-1
FBC Melgar Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 FBC Melgar vs Cienciano 2-0
Jan 25 FBC Melgar vs Macará 2-1
Nov 01 FBC Melgar vs Alianza L… 2-2
Oct 26 FBC Melgar vs Sport Hua… 2-0
Oct 20 FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys 1-0
Oct 14 FBC Melgar vs Alianza U… 2-1
Oct 05 FBC Melgar vs Atletico … 0-0
Oct 03 FBC Melgar vs Cienciano 2-0
Sep 27 FBC Melgar vs Comercian… 1-1
Sep 21 FBC Melgar vs Cultural … 6-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FBC Melgar in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 10, 2025 Sporting Cristal 1 - 0 FBC Melgar Primera Divisi…
Mar 08, 2025 FBC Melgar 1 - 0 Sporting Cristal Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting Cristal Power 0
FBC Melgar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Sporting Cristal Position

-9

Position Gap

1

FBC Melgar Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.