AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Feb 01, 2026

Universitario

Home
VS
23:00

ADT

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Universitario Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
ADT Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 94%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.84 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4 Position gap: 16 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitario Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
ADT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Universitario Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Universit… vs Cultural … 3-1
Nov 08 Universit… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Oct 26 Universit… vs ADT 1-2
Oct 24 Universit… vs Sporting … 0-1
Oct 21 Universit… vs Ayacucho … 2-1
Oct 05 Universit… vs Juan Pabl… 3-0
Oct 01 Universit… vs Alianza A… 0-2
Sep 27 Universit… vs Cusco 3-2
Sep 21 Universit… vs UTC 1-2
Sep 14 Universit… vs FBC Melgar 1-2
ADT Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 ADT vs Comercian… 0-0
Nov 10 ADT vs Cultural … 1-0
Nov 01 ADT vs Deportivo… 1-0
Oct 26 ADT vs Universit… 1-2
Oct 12 ADT vs Ayacucho … 2-2
Oct 04 ADT vs Sporting … 3-2
Sep 30 ADT vs Juan Pabl… 1-1
Sep 26 ADT vs Alianza A… 1-0
Sep 23 ADT vs Cusco 0-2
Sep 16 ADT vs UTC 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universitario in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2025 ADT 1 - 2 Universitario Primera Divisi…
Jun 21, 2025 Universitario 5 - 0 ADT Primera Divisi…
Oct 20, 2024 Universitario 2 - 1 ADT Primera Divisi…
May 03, 2024 ADT 2 - 0 Universitario Primera Divisi…
Aug 16, 2023 ADT 2 - 0 Universitario Primera Divisi…
Mar 19, 2023 Universitario 3 - 1 ADT Primera Divisi…
Aug 21, 2022 ADT 1 - 1 Universitario Primera Divisi…
Apr 05, 2022 Universitario 2 - 1 ADT Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

MASTER: Universitario to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
Universitario Power 0
ADT Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Universitario Position

+16

Position Gap

18

ADT Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.