Championship · Feb 28, 2026 15:00
ST Johnstone
PWR 35
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
ST Johnstone
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: ST Johnstone to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
3-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
ST Johnstone Form
DLWWD
STABLE
Ayr Utd Form
WLWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS53%
Under 2.538%
ST Johnstone Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Ayr Utd Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
ST Johnstonevs
0.85
Ayr UtdDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
ST Johnstone+3
Gap#4
Ayr Utd
WR 54% 46 pts
WR 33% 32 pts
ST Johnstone
12.0%
| Jan 30 | ST John… v Partick | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | ST John… v Dunferm… | 0-1 |
| Jan 13 | ST John… v Ross Co… | 2-0 |
| Jan 03 | ST John… v Arbroath | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | ST John… v Ross Co… | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | ST John… v Morton | 5-0 |
| Dec 16 | ST John… v Hearts … | 0-1 |
| Dec 12 | ST John… v Ayr Utd | 2-4 |
| Dec 06 | ST John… v Raith R… | 0-0 |
| Nov 29 | ST John… v Cove Ra… | 1-2 |
Ayr Utd
14.0%
| Jan 31 | Ayr Utd v Raith R… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ayr Utd v Partick | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Ayr Utd v Dundee … | 2-0 |
| Jan 13 | Ayr Utd v Stranra… | 4-1 |
| Jan 10 | Ayr Utd v Airdrie… | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | Ayr Utd v Morton | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Ayr Utd v Dunferm… | 2-3 |
| Dec 12 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 2-4 |
| Dec 09 | Ayr Utd v Peterhe… | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | Ayr Utd v Partick | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Dec 12, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 2-4 | ST Johnstone |
| Oct 04, 2025 | ST Johnstone | 0-0 | Ayr Utd |
| Jul 25, 2023 | ST Johnstone | 1-2 | Ayr Utd |
| Jul 23, 2022 | ST Johnstone | 1-0 | Ayr Utd |
Key Factors
Ayr Utd in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.