AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira DivisĂŁo Feb 01, 2026

CPK

Home
VS
10:00

Universidade de Macau

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
CPK Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Universidade de Macau Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.07 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.4 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
CPK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Universidade de Macau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
CPK Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 CPK vs Shao Jiang 3-2
Aug 02 CPK vs Shao Jiang 1-2
Jul 13 CPK vs Universid… 0-9
Jul 05 CPK vs Benfica 1-3
Jun 29 CPK vs Cheng Fung 1-10
Jun 15 CPK vs Shao Jiang 1-2
May 11 CPK vs Universid… 2-1
Mar 28 CPK vs Shao Jiang 2-2
Apr 12 CPK vs Universid… 6-0
Universidade de Macau Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Universid… vs Jia Hua 3-0
Aug 02 Universid… vs Benfica 4-1
Jul 26 Universid… vs Cheng Fung 1-1
Jul 13 Universid… vs CPK 0-9
Jun 29 Universid… vs Shao Jiang 3-4
Jun 22 Universid… vs Cheng Fung 1-2
May 11 Universid… vs CPK 2-1
Feb 27 Universid… vs Jia Hua 2-0
Jul 28 Universid… vs Jia Hua 1-0
Jun 29 Universid… vs Jia Hua 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • CPK in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Universidade de Macau struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 13, 2025 Universidade de Mac… 0 - 9 CPK Primeira Divis…
May 11, 2025 CPK 2 - 1 Universidade de Mac… Primeira Divis…
Apr 12, 2024 CPK 6 - 0 Universidade de Mac… Primeira Divis…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CPK to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CPK Power 0
Universidade de Macau Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

CPK Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Universidade de Macau Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.