AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira DivisĂŁo Jan 30, 2026

Chiba

Home
VS
13:00

Hang Sai

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Chiba Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Hang Sai Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 3.15 - 1.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.4
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chiba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Hang Sai Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Chiba Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Chiba vs Shao Jiang 0-2
Aug 03 Chiba vs Jia Hua 1-0
Jul 12 Chiba vs Hang Sai 0-3
Jun 28 Chiba vs Jia Hua 2-0
Jun 01 Chiba vs Hang Sai 1-1
Mar 06 Chiba vs Hang Sai 4-3
Feb 20 Chiba vs Shao Jiang 3-0
Hang Sai Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Hang Sai vs Cheng Fung 1-1
Jan 18 Hang Sai vs Jia Hua 0-3
Jul 27 Hang Sai vs Jia Hua 3-1
Jul 12 Hang Sai vs Chiba 0-3
Jun 21 Hang Sai vs Jia Hua 3-0
Jun 01 Hang Sai vs Chiba 1-1
Apr 26 Hang Sai vs Jia Hua 1-1
Mar 06 Hang Sai vs Chiba 4-3
Feb 20 Hang Sai vs Cheng Fung 1-2
Jul 07 Hang Sai vs Cheng Fung 8-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hang Sai struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 12, 2025 Hang Sai 0 - 3 Chiba Primeira Divis…
Jun 01, 2025 Chiba 1 - 1 Hang Sai Primeira Divis…
Mar 06, 2025 Chiba 4 - 3 Hang Sai Primeira Divis…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chiba Power 0
Hang Sai Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Chiba Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Hang Sai Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.