AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 11, 2026

Chapecoense

Home
VS
22:00

Coritiba

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Chapecoense Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Coritiba Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.56 - 0.26
Key Insights
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chapecoense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Coritiba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (44%) 1-0 (25%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 95%
Chapecoense Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 1-2
Jan 28 Chapecoen… vs Santos 4-2
Jan 25 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 6-0
Jan 22 Chapecoen… vs Avaí 1-1
Jan 18 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Jan 14 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 1-2
Jan 11 Chapecoen… vs Camboriú 2-0
Jan 06 Chapecoen… vs Brusque 1-1
Nov 23 Chapecoen… vs Athletico… 1-0
Nov 15 Chapecoen… vs Volta Red… 1-1
Coritiba Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Coritiba vs Cianorte 0-1
Jan 28 Coritiba vs RB Bragan… 0-1
Jan 24 Coritiba vs Cascavel 1-1
Jan 21 Coritiba vs Independi… 0-1
Jan 17 Coritiba vs Athletico… 0-1
Jan 13 Coritiba vs Maringá 0-1
Jan 10 Coritiba vs Londrina 2-2
Jan 07 Coritiba vs Foz Do Ig… 2-3
Nov 11 Coritiba vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Jul 16 Coritiba vs Cruzeiro 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chapecoense in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Chapecoense Power 0
Coritiba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Chapecoense Position

+13

Position Gap

19

Coritiba Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.