AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 05, 2026

Gremio

Home
VS
00:30

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Gremio Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Botafogo Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.39 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Gremio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Gremio Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Gremio vs Juventude 1-1
Jan 28 Gremio vs Fluminense 2-1
Jan 25 Gremio vs Internaci… 4-2
Jan 22 Gremio vs Guaraní d… 0-2
Jan 17 Gremio vs SĂŁo Luiz 5-0
Jan 15 Gremio vs São José 0-1
Jan 11 Gremio vs Avenida 0-4
Feb 07 Gremio vs Novo Hamb… 2-0
Feb 24 Gremio vs Novo Hamb… 6-1
Mar 05 Gremio vs Novo Hamb… 1-1
Botafogo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Botafogo vs Fluminense 0-1
Jan 30 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 4-0
Jan 25 Botafogo vs Bangu 2-0
Jan 21 Botafogo vs Volta Red… 1-0
Jan 18 Botafogo vs Sampaio C… 2-1
Jan 15 Botafogo vs Portugues… 0-2
Jan 04 Botafogo vs Santa Cru… 3-1
Dec 04 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 2-2
Nov 30 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 2-2
Nov 23 Botafogo vs AvaĂ­ 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Botafogo in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gremio Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Gremio Position

-1

Position Gap

8

Botafogo Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.