Predictions Match Details
Serie A · Sep 24, 2024 18:45

Atalanta
PWR 40
2 - 3
FT

Como
PWR 45
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Atalanta to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense74
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack48
Defense79
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.7
Atalanta Form WWWLL
UP
Como Form DDLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS35%
Under 2.539%
Atalanta Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Como Goals
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.72
Atalanta
vs
0.45
Como
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Atalanta
-1
Gap
#6
Como
WR 50% 36 pts WR 46% 41 pts
Atalanta 12.0%
Sep 19 Atalanta v Fuerte … 0-2
Sep 15 Atalanta v Fiorent… 3-2
Sep 15 Atalanta v Fiorent… 3-2
Aug 30 Atalanta v Inter 4-0
Aug 30 Atalanta v Inter 4-0
Aug 25 Atalanta v Torino 2-1
Aug 25 Atalanta v Torino 2-1
Aug 19 Atalanta v Lecce 0-4
Aug 04 Atalanta v Parma 4-1
Jul 28 Atalanta v Municip… 1-1
Como 6.0%
Sep 14 Como v Bologna 2-2
Sep 14 Como v Bologna 2-2
Sep 01 Como v Udinese 1-0
Sep 01 Como v Udinese 1-0
Aug 26 Como v Cagliari 1-1
Aug 19 Como v Juventus 3-0
Aug 11 Como v Sampdor… 1-1
Jul 02 Como v Zambia 1-0
May 10 Como v Cosenza 1-1
May 10 Como v Cosenza 1-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Jul 23, 2022 Atalanta 4-0 Como
Key Factors
Atalanta in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.